贵州财经大学学报

›› 2016 ›› Issue (03): 95-104.

• 绿色发展论坛 • 上一篇    下一篇

“三驾马车”驱动碳排放效应及变动研究

张学刚, 唐铁球   

  1. 嘉兴学院 商学院, 浙江 嘉兴 314001
  • 收稿日期:2016-01-30 出版日期:2016-05-15 发布日期:2016-05-19
  • 作者简介:张学刚(1973-),男,湖北人,浙江嘉兴学院商学院讲师,博士,研究方向为环境经济;唐铁球(1971-),男,湖南人,浙江嘉兴学院商学院副教授,博士,研究方向为产业经济。
  • 基金资助:

    国家社科重大项目《城市生态文明建设机制、评价方法与政策工具研究》(13&ZD158)、《浙江省循环经济与浙江转型发展创新团队建设项目》,及教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目《全球价值链下中国制造业国际分工地位的测度与提升》(12YJA790122)成果之一。

Research on carbon emissions from the perspective of the “three carriages”

ZHANG Xue-gang, TANG Tie-qiu   

  1. College of business, Jiaxing university, Jiaxing Zhengjiang 314001
  • Received:2016-01-30 Online:2016-05-15 Published:2016-05-19

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摘要： 基于最终需求的视角,构建扩展的(进口)竞争型投入产出模型,采用改进的两极分解方法,从经济整体及行业部门层面对最终需求以及消费、投资、出口等各类需求的碳排放驱动效应进行分解。结果表明: (1) 1992-2012年间,最终需求驱动碳排放净增加66.19 亿吨,其中规模效应及中间结构效应驱动碳排放增加73.68和44.76亿吨,技术效应减少碳排放51.87亿吨。(2) 从"三驾马车"碳排放"贡献"及变动来看,消费排放份额持续下降,投资、出口排放占比不断上升;(3)从各类需求自身驱动效应及部门分布特征来看,"三驾马车"驱动碳排放存在巨大差异:消费驱动碳排放主要集中于农业及服务业,且以规模效应为主;投资、出口驱动碳排放主要集中于工业,且以规模效应及中间结构效应为主。

关键词: 三驾马车, 碳排放, 两极分解

Abstract: Constructing the non-competitive input-output schedule, using the improved polar decomposition method, analyzing effects of China's carbon emissions from the perspective of the final demand, The results show that: (1) During1992-2012 years, China's carbon emissions increase6.619 billion tons, of which scale effect and structure effect induce 7.368, 4.746 billion tons respectively, and technical effects reduce 5.187 billion tons of carbon emissions. (2) Among the "three carriages", consumption incurring carbon is mainly concentrated in agriculture and service industry, with the scale effect being the primary driven force. (3)Investment and export concentrates in the industrial industry, the scale and the intermediate structure effect being the main effect, which reflects t process of industrialization, economic globalization profound influence on China's carbon emissions.

Key words: Three carriages, carbon emissions, polar decomposition method

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