Scale Measurement and Effect Evaluation of China’s Smart Agriculture
ZHANG Shaohua, CHEN Rentao, LI Meiling
2025 (02):
22-31.
This article aims to connect with the national economic accounting system, measure the added value scale of China’s smart agriculture, and evaluate its industrial linkage effect and final demand effect. Therefore, based on the Statistical Classification of Digital Economy and Its Core Industries (2021) by the National Bureau of Statistics, this article decomposes the digital industrialization part of the agricultural sector using input-output tables from more than 100 departments, measures the scale of China’s smart agriculture, and evaluates its effects. Research has found that: (1) The average scale of smart agriculture in China is 371.388 billion yuan, accounting for 5.58% of the agricultural category and only 0.47% of GDP, indicating that there is huge development space for smart agriculture in China. At the same time, both smart agriculture and traditional agriculture have an average annual growth rate lower than the GDP growth rate of the same period, indicating that in the trend of industrial structure adjustment, efforts should still be made to increase agricultural development. (2) From the perspective of industrial correlation, there is a significant backward connection between China’s smart agriculture and the core industries of the digital economy, especially the digital product manufacturing industry. The development of smart agriculture has shifted from initial infrastructure construction to improving production service efficiency and digital technology innovation; At the same time, the demand and supply driving effects of smart agriculture and traditional agriculture on other industries in the national economy are almost equal. However, compared to traditional agriculture, smart agriculture is not sensitive to changes in supply and demand of other industries in the national economy. (3) From the sensitivity analysis of final demand, smart agriculture is a consumption dependent industry, but the promotion of smart agriculture by various final demands is relatively small, and the expansion of effective demand mostly affects traditional agriculture. This study not only provides an analytical framework for subsequent academic research, but also provides high academic guidance for the policy community.
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