›› 2016 ›› Issue (04): 24-35.

• 宏观经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

生产性服务业集聚门槛与制造业升级研究——基于集聚三重效应的分析

卢飞, 刘明辉   

  1. 新疆财经大学 经济学院, 新疆 乌鲁木齐 830012
  • 收稿日期:2016-03-31 出版日期:2016-07-15 发布日期:2016-07-21
  • 作者简介:卢飞(1991—),男,山西绛县人,新疆财经大学2013级硕士研究生,研究方向为绿洲经济与可持续发展;刘明辉(1990—),女,四川内江人,新疆财经大学2013级硕士研究生,研究方向为区域经济学。
  • 基金资助:

    新疆维吾尔自治区研究生教育创新计划科研项目"空间外溢视角下新疆制造业升级研究"(批准号:XJGRI2015125 );新疆财经大学校级科研基金支持项目"'一路一带'战略背景下中国与中亚能源安全链构建研究——基于全球价值链视角"(批准号:XJUFE2015K001)。

Research on agglomeration of producer services Threshold and manufacturing upgrading - based on triple effect of the cluster

LU Fei, LIU Ming-hui   

  1. Economics College of Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics, Urumqi, Xinjiang 830012, China
  • Received:2016-03-31 Online:2016-07-15 Published:2016-07-21

摘要: 通过对生产性服务业集聚对制造业升级的三重效应的分析,表明生产性服务业集聚对制造业升级影响呈倒"U"型以及各变量基于生产性服务业集聚对制造业升级存在门限特征。根据2002—2013年中国31个省级面板数据设定面板模型,并将生产性服务业集聚设为门槛变量进行门限面板模型估计,综合证实了三个假设,甄别出各要素基于生产性服务业集聚对制造业升级促进或阻碍作用的临界点。结果进一步表明,聚集的弹性效力呈现中东西渐次递减态势,空间语境下不同要素基于生产性服务业集聚对制造业升级的作用表现出不同的线性或非线性特征。

关键词: 生产性服务业集聚, 制造业升级, 固定效应面板模型, 随机效应面板模型, 门限面板模型

Abstract: Based on the literature review and theoretical deduction. First, the article puts forward triple effects of producer services agglomeration on the upgrade of manufacturing industry, the analysis states that the effect producer services agglomeration have made on the upgrade of manufacturing industry showed inverted U-vurve and there is a threshold characteristics exists in the effects each variable selected worked on manufacturing industry upgrade with the help of producer service industry agglomeration. The part of the empirical test. Based on China's 31 provincial-level panel data during 2002 to 2013 and set panel data model, and set the agglomeration of producer service industry as the threshold variable then set the threshold panel model.Two models comprehensive confirmed the three hypotheses and distinguish the critical point of elements working on manufacturing upgrading with the help of producer service industry agglomeration. Results of the article further indicate that gathered elastic effects of producer industry has gradually present decreasing trend in the rank of Central Region, Eastern Region and western region.Considering space into the context,the effect of different elements wok on manufacturing industry to upgrade by aggregate producer sevice industry shows out different linear or nonlinear characteristic. Thereby make the empirical analysis combining with China's 2013 data,which recognize that different regions has different driving factors, then propose to upgrade manufacturing industry under the guidance of the regional producer services agglomeration.

Key words: productive service industry agglomeration, manufacturing industry upgrading, fixed effect panel model, random effect panel model, threshold panel model

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