›› 2018 ›› Issue (06): 91-100.

• 绿色发展论坛 • 上一篇    下一篇

后靠式移民对收入影响的研究:基于断点回归的估计

王湛晨1, 刘富华2   

  1. 1. 西安交通大学 经济与金融学院, 陕西 西安 710061;
    2. 云南财经大学 经济学院, 云南 昆明 650221
  • 收稿日期:2018-04-27 出版日期:2018-11-15 发布日期:2018-11-15
  • 作者简介:王湛晨(1991-),男,河南开封人,西安交通大学经济与金融学院博士研究生,研究方向为区域经济;刘富华(1972-),男,云南陆良人,经济学博士,云南财经大学经济学院教授,博士生导师,研究方向为经济增长,收入分配。
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金资助项目"生计资本视角下西南地区水利水电建设工程移民收入变化机理研究"(项目编号:71663059)。

Study on the Effect of Backward Immigration Policy: Based on Regression Discontinuities

WANG Zhan-chen1, LIU Fu-hua2   

  1. 1. Xi'an Jiao Tong University, School of economics and finance, Xi'an, Shanxi 710061, China;
    2. Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, School of economics, Kunming, Yunnan 650221, China
  • Received:2018-04-27 Online:2018-11-15 Published:2018-11-15

摘要: 基于断点回归对后靠式移民政策的收入效应进行实证研究。研究结果显示移民政策对于涉及群体存在显著的负收入效应,移民使得涉及家庭收入减少超过3000元;相对于从事农业生计家庭超过4000元的收入损失,从事非农业生计策略的家庭具有更高的抗政策波动能力,损失1800元左右远小于农业生计策略;移民对于不同收入水平家庭影响不尽相同,整体上呈现为倒U型。

关键词: 工程移民, 后靠式移民, 收入效应, 断点回归

Abstract: Based on the framework of sustainable livelihood capital analysis, this paper empirically studies the income effect of post-migration policy based on Regression discontinuities(RD).The empirical results of this article has the following three main findings:first, the immigration policy for involving the group there were significant negative income effect, immigration has involved family than non-migrant family income less than 3000 yuan. Second, relative to engage in more than 4000 yuan in agricultural livelihood family income loss, engaged in non-agricultural livelihood strategies of family has higher adaptability for policy, loss 1800 yuan is far less than the agricultural livelihoods strategy. Third, the immigrants to different income scale families should not be the same.

Key words: engineering migration, backward immigration, regression discontinuities design, income effect

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