贸易网络地位与出口技术复杂度——基于跨国面板数据的实证分析

›› 2019 ›› Issue (03): 1-11.

• 宏观经济 • 下一篇

贸易网络地位与出口技术复杂度——基于跨国面板数据的实证分析

邵汉华^1,2, 李莹², 汪元盛²

1. 南昌大学中国中部经济社会发展研究中心江西南昌 330031;
2. 南昌大学经济管理学院, 江西南昌 330031

收稿日期:2018-12-20 出版日期:2019-05-15 发布日期:2019-05-14
作者简介:邵汉华(1986-),男,江西都昌人,南昌大学经济管理学院副教授,研究方向为区域创新;李莹(1997-),女,江西南昌人,南昌大学经济管理学院本科生,研究方向为国际贸易及社会网络分析;汪元盛(1997-),男,湖北宜昌人,南昌大学经济管理学院本科生,研究方向为金融结构及技术创新管理。
基金资助:
江西省社会科学"十三五"规划项目"江西城市经济绿色发展的非均衡性及协调机制研究"（16YJ31）

The status of a country's trade network and its impact on the export technical sophistication

SHAO Han-hua^1,2, LI Ying², WANG Yuan-sheng²

1. Nanchang University Research Center of the Central China for Economic and Social Development, Jiangxi, Nanchang 330031, China;
2. Nanchang University School of Economics and Management, Jiangxi, Nanchang 330031, China

Received:2018-12-20 Online:2019-05-15 Published:2019-05-14

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 基于2001-2014年86个主要国家的面板数据，利用社会网络分析法构建全球贸易网络，并从网络中心性、网络联系强度、网络异质性三个维度分析个体国家的网络特征与地位，以及对其出口技术复杂度的影响。研究发现：一国的贸易网络地位提高对其出口技术复杂度的升级具有显著的促进作用；随着一国的出口技术复杂度由条件分布的低端向高端攀升，贸易网络地位提高对出口技术复杂度的提升作用呈现弱化趋势；贸易自由化水平提升能够强化一国贸易网络中心性及异质性对出口技术复杂度的提升效应，但削弱了贸易网络联系强度的正向效应。研究结果对推动我国从贸易大国向贸易强国转变，实现对外贸易高质量发展具有一定的现实指导意义。

关键词: 贸易网络, 出口技术复杂度, 贸易自由化, 社会网络分析法

Abstract: Based on the trade data of 86 major countries from 2001 to 2014, this paper uses the method of social network analysis (SNA) to construct a global trade network and then analyzes the network characteristics and status of individual countries from the perspectives of network centrality, strength and heterogeneity. On this basis, we empirically examines the impact of the status of a country's trade network on its export technology sophistication. The result indicates that the improvement of the status of a country's trade network has a significant role in the upgrading of its export technology sophistication. With the conditional distribution of a country's export technical sophistication from low-end to high-end, the upgrading effect of network status presents a trend of weakening. Furthermore, threshold regression analysis finds that an increase in the level of trade liberalization strengthens the upgrading effect of the network centrality and heterogeneity on its export technology sophistication, but weakens the positive effect of the strength. Therefore, China should actively transform its advantage of the status in the trade network into the advantage of export technology sophistication, materializing the transition of China from a large trading market to a large trading power, and realizing high-quality development of trade.

Key words: trade network, export technology sophistication, trade liberalization, social network analysis

中图分类号:

F740.6

邵汉华, 李莹, 汪元盛. 贸易网络地位与出口技术复杂度——基于跨国面板数据的实证分析[J]. , 2019(03): 1-11.

SHAO Han-hua, LI Ying, WANG Yuan-sheng. The status of a country's trade network and its impact on the export technical sophistication[J]. , 2019(03): 1-11.

参考文献

[1] Zhou M, Wu G, Xu H. Structure and Formation of Top Networks in International Trade, 2001-2010[J]. Social Networks, 2016, 44(3):9-21.

[2] 陈银飞. 2000-2009年世界贸易格局的社会网络分析[J]. 国际贸易问题, 2011(11):31-42.

[3] 杨晨,王海鹏,韩庆潇.基于SNA方法的国际服务贸易网络结构特征及其影响因素识别——来自亚太地区的经验证据[J].国际商务(对外经济贸易大学学报),2017(06):65-75.

[4] Lall S, Weiss J, Zhang J. The "Sophistication" of Exports:A New Trade Measure[J]. World Development, 2006, 34(2):222-237.

[5] Schott, P. K. The Relative Sophistication of Chinese Exports[J]. Economic Policy, 2010, 23(53):5-49.

[6] 齐俊妍, 王永进, 施炳展,等. 金融发展与出口技术复杂度[J]. 世界经济, 2011(7):91-118.

[7] 陈晓华, 刘慧, 范良聪. 中国制造业出口技术复杂度升级的贸易利益效应分析——来自美日欧韩对华贸易数据的经验证据[J]. 国际贸易问题, 2014(4):46-57.

[8] 刘威,杜雪利,李炳.金融发展对中国出口复杂度的影响渠道研究[J].国际金融研究,2018(02):87-96.

[9] Gereffi G. Global Value Chains and Upgrading:Export Promotion in FTZs[Free Trade Zones] [J]. Social Science Electronic Publishing, 2016.

[10] 盛斌, 毛其淋. 进口贸易自由化是否影响了中国制造业出口技术复杂度[J]. 世界经济, 2017(12):52-75.

[11] 杨连星, 张秀敏, 王孝松. 反倾销如何影响了出口技术复杂度?[J]. 中国经济问题, 2017(3):64-75.

[12] Ibarra H. Network Centrality, Power, and Innovation Involvement:Determinants of Technical and Administrative Roles[J]. Academy of Management Journal, 1993, 36(3):471-501.

[13] Javier Reyes, Stefano Schiavo, Giorgio Fagiolo. Assessing the Evolution of International Economic Integration Using Random Walk between Centrality:The Cases Of East Asia and Latin America[J]. Advances in Complex Systems, 2008, 11(05):685-702.

[14] Gnyawali D R, Madhavan R. Cooperative Networks and Competitive Dynamics:A Structural Embeddedness Perspective[J]. Academy of Management Review, 2001, 26(3):431-445.

[15] Fagiolo G, Reyes J, Schiavo S. World-trade web:topological properties, dynamics, and evolution[J]. Physical Review E Statistical Nonlinear & Soft Matter Physics, 2009, 79(3 Pt 2):036115.

[16] Squartini T, Fagiolo G, Garlaschelli D. Rewiring World Trade. Part Ⅱ:A Weighted Network Analysis[J]. Giorgio Fagiolo, 2011, 84(4):4547-4547.

[17] 马述忠, 任婉婉, 吴国杰. 一国农产品贸易网络特征及其对全球价值链分工的影响——基于社会网络分析视角[J]. 管理世界, 2016, No.270(3):60-72.

[18] 杜运苏,彭冬冬.制造业服务化与全球增加值贸易网络地位提升——基于2000-2014年世界投入产出表[J].财贸经济,2018,39(02):102-117.

[19] Hausmann R, Hwang J, Rodrik D. What you export matters[R]. NBER Working Paper, 2005.

[20] Girma S, Gong Y, Görg H. Foreign direct investment, access to finance, and innovation activity in Chinese enterprises[J]. The World Bank Economic Review, 2008, 22(2):367-382.

[21] Aitken B J, Harrison A E. Do domestic firms benefit from direct foreign investment? Evidence from Venezuela[J]. American economic review, 1999, 89(3):605-618.

[22] 李平, 姜丽. 贸易自由化、中间品进口与中国技术创新——1998-2012年省级面板数据的实证研究[J]. 国际贸易问题, 2015(7):3-11.

[23] Feenstra R C, Ma H. Trade Facilitation and the Extensive Margin of Exports[J]. Japanese Economic Review, 2014, 65(2):158-177.

[24] Escaith H. Accumulated Trade Costs and Their Impact on the Development of Domestic and International Value Chains[J]. Social Science Electronic Publishing, 2017.

[25] 殷宝庆, 肖文, 刘洋. 贸易便利化影响了出口技术复杂度吗——基于2002-2014年省级面板样本的检验[J]. 科学学与科学技术管理, 2016, 37(12):73-81.

[26] 陈维涛, 王永进, 孙文远. 贸易自由化、进口竞争与中国工业行业技术复杂度[J]. 国际贸易问题, 2017(1):50-59.

[27] Hansen B.E., Threshold Effects in Non-dynamic Panels:Estimation, Testing and Inference. Journal of Econometrics.,1999,93(2):345-368.

[28] 黎开颜, 陈飞翔. 深化开放中的锁定效应与技术依赖[J]. 数量经济技术经济研究, 2008(11):56-70.

贸易网络地位与出口技术复杂度——基于跨国面板数据的实证分析

The status of a country's trade network and its impact on the export technical sophistication

PDF

可视化

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

参考文献

相关文章 2

编辑推荐

Metrics

本文评价

[1]	周申, 何冰. 贸易自由化、人口流动与地区犯罪率[J]. , 2019, 37(01): 1-12.
[2]	莫　莎，李　玲. 对外直接投资对出口技术复杂度的影响研究[J]. , 2015, 33(02): 63-.