贵州财经大学学报

贵州财经大学学报 ›› 2022 ›› Issue (01): 1-12.

• 宏观经济 •    下一篇

全球价值链对中国居民消费率的影响研究

张少军1, 方玉文1, 鄢甜2   

  1. 1. 厦门大学 经济学院国际经济与贸易系, 福建 厦门 361005;
    2. 中国电信股份有限公司江西分公司, 江西 南昌 330000
  • 收稿日期:2021-09-01 出版日期:2022-01-15 发布日期:2022-02-23
  • 作者简介:张少军(1978—), 男, 厦门大学经济学院国际经济与贸易系教授, 主要研究方向为全球价值链、省际贸易;方玉文(1995—), 厦门大学经济学院国际经济与贸易系硕士研究生, 研究方向为应用计量经济学;鄢甜(1994—), 中国电信股份有限公司江西分公司经理, 研究方向为全球价值链
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金重点项目"中美经贸博弈背景下中国健全对外开放安全保障体系与提高自主发展能力研究"(20AZD102)

The Impact of Global Value Chain on the Consumption Rate of China's Household

ZHANG Shao-jun1, FANG Yu-wen1, YAN Tian2   

  1. 1. Department of international economics and trade, School of economics, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian 361005, China;
    2. China Telecom Jiangxi branch, Nanchang, Jiangxi 330000, China
  • Received:2021-09-01 Online:2022-01-15 Published:2022-02-23

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摘要： 近年来随着全球价值链的兴起, 中国的居民消费率不断下降。利用中国省级面板数据研究全球价值链对中国居民消费率的影响, 结果表明: 全球价值链对中国的居民消费率会产生显著的抑制作用。无论是从进口渠道还是出口渠道, 全球价值链都会显著地抑制中国的居民消费率。将居民消费率细分为城镇居民消费率和农村居民消费率后, 全球价值链更显著降低的是中国农村的居民消费率。在全球价值链的背景下, 促进能消费、敢消费和愿消费, 提高居民消费率, 关系到中国能否形成以国内大循环为主体、国内国际双循环相互促进的新发展格局。

关键词: 全球价值链, 居民消费率, 能消费, 敢消费, 愿消费

Abstract: In recent years, with the rise of global value chain, China's household consumption rate has been declining. This paper uses China's provincial panel data to study the impact of global value chain on the consumption rate of China's household. The results show that: Global value chains have a significant inhibitory effect on the consumption rate of China's household. Whether it is from import channel or export channel, global value chain will significantly suppress China's household consumption rate. After subdividing the household consumption rate into urban household consumption rate and rural household consumption rate, the global value chain reduces the consumption rate of rural residents in China even more significantly. In the context of global value chain, promoting capable consumption, daring consumption and willing consumption, and increasing the consumption rate of household are related to whether China can form a new development pattern with the domestic cycle as the main body and the domestic and international cycles promoting each other.

Key words: global value chain, household consumption rate, capable consumption, daring consumption, willing consumption

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