贵州财经大学学报

贵州财经大学学报 ›› 2022 ›› Issue (02): 23-34.

• 新发展理念专题 • 上一篇    下一篇

新发展理念基础上中国高质量发展水平耦合协调的空间分布研究

张圆1, 郝枫1, 李婧文2   

  1. 1. 天津商业大学 经济学院, 天津 300134;
    2. 天津财经大学 统计学院, 天津 300222
  • 收稿日期:2021-04-23 出版日期:2022-03-15 发布日期:2022-03-25
  • 作者简介:张圆(1991—),男,天津人,天津商业大学经济学院讲师,中国准精算师,研究方向为宏观经济统计分析;郝枫(1979—)(通讯作者),男,河北河间人,天津商业大学领军学者,经济学院教授,博士生导师,研究方向为国民经济统计分析;李婧文(1994—),女,山东东营人,天津财经大学统计学院硕士研究生,研究方向为宏观经济统计分析。
  • 基金资助:
    天津哲学社会科学基金重点项目"京津冀经济高质量发展水平统计测度与提升路径研究"(TJTJ20-001)。

The Spatial Distribution of Coupling and Coordination of China’s High-quality Development Level Based on the New Development Philosophy

ZHANG Yuan1, HAO Feng1, LI Jing-wen2   

  1. 1. School of Economics, Tianjin University of Commerce, Tianjin 300134, China;
    2. School of Statistics, Tianjin University of Finance and Economics, Tianjin 300222, China
  • Received:2021-04-23 Online:2022-03-15 Published:2022-03-25

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摘要： 基于"创新、协调、绿色、开放、共享"的新发展理念,首先以时序全局主成分方法测度中国大陆31个省区市的高质量发展水平;进而借助Dagum基尼子群分解法揭示地区差异,通过耦合协调与灰色关联方法识别各地区内部发展差异;最后选用面板向量自回归(PVAR)技术,探讨新发展理念对高质量发展水平的作用强度及相对重要性。研究发现:(1)我国高质量发展水平的总体差异有所减小,尽管子群内存在明显分化,但超变密度差异才是其首要来源。(2)近年来,我国高质量发展水平与新发展理念达到较强关联,但耦合协调度尚未收敛。东部地区耦合协调等级普遍较高,而中部地区发展速度最快,多数省份跨越濒临失调状态,仅少数西部省份处于轻度失调阶段。(3)新发展理念对高质量发展水平有明显促进作用,东部地区以创新和开放为主导因素,中西部地区则在绿色与协调方面更具优势。

关键词: 高质量发展, 新发展理念, 耦合协调, 空间分布

Abstract: Based on the vision of innovative, coordinated, green, open and inclusive development, this paper measures the high-quality economic development level of 31 provinces by using the time series global principal component analysis method. Then, we use the Dagum Gini subgroup decomposition method to decompose the regional differences, and decomposes the regional differences with the coupling and cooperation method. Finally, according to PVAR, the interaction mechanism between new development vision and high-quality economic development level is discussed. The main findings are:(1)The overall difference in China's high-quality development level has decreased, the internal multi-level differentiation is increasingly apparent, while the structure of regional differences is stable, and the super variable density difference is the main source. (2)In recent years, China's high-quality development level has reached a strong correlation with the new development concept, but the coupling coordination degree has not yet reached convergence. The level of coupling and coordination in the eastern region is generally high, while the central region develops the fastest. Although some western provinces are still in the stage of mild maladjustment, most provinces are on the verge of maladjustment. (3)There is a short-term interaction between new development vision and high-quality development. The eastern region has prominent impact on innovation and opening, while the central and western regions have more advantages in green and coordination.

Key words: high quality economic development, new development philosophy, coupling coordination, spatial distribution

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