贸易便利化与出口实绩：来自国别组效应的证据

›› 2017 ›› Issue (04): 84-92.

贸易便利化与出口实绩：来自国别组效应的证据

曹颖琦¹, 焦晓松², 廖望科²

1. 中央财经大学统计与数学学院, 北京 100081;
2. 大理大学经济研究所, 云南大理 671003

收稿日期:2017-02-21 出版日期:2017-07-15 发布日期:2017-07-31
作者简介:曹颖琦(1978—),女,中央财经大学统计与数学学院博士研究生,河北大学经济学院副教授,研究方向为宏观经济分析;焦晓松(1977—),男,大理大学经济研究所博士、副教授,研究方向为国际贸易战略与政策;廖望科(1971—),男,大理大学经济研究所博士、教授,研究方向为经济增长。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金"桥头堡战略目标下大西南区际产业协作的路径、对策与绩效评价研究"（71263002）；云南省省院省校合作研究项目"面向南亚东南亚辐射中心的产业集群、产业结构、产业通道研究"（SYSX201513）。

Trade Facilitation and Export Performance: Evidence from Country Group Effect

CAO Ying-qi¹, JIAO Xiao-song², LIAO Wang-ke²

1. School of Statistics and Mathematics, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing 100081;
2. Institute of Economic Research, Dali University, Dali Yunnan 671003, China

Received:2017-02-21 Online:2017-07-15 Published:2017-07-31

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 将177个国家以收入水平高低为标准，按照世界银行的分类方法分为五组，运用引力模型和泊松伪极大似然估计方法，结合2014年各国双边出口的截面数据，估计了贸易便利化与出口额之间的关系，并据此判断后发优势的存在的可能性。结果发现：①贸易便利化措施对于所有国家出口均有积极影响；②影响大小因国家国民收入的高低而有差异，从大到小依次为低收入组国家、中低收入组国家、中高收入组国家、高收入OECD组国家，从而验证后发优势理论对贸易便利化的适用性。

关键词: 引力模型, 贸易便利化, PPML, 国别效应, 后发优势

Abstract: By the criteria of National income level, this paper classifies the 177 countries into 5 groups.Using gravity model and PPML method and combined with the cross sectional data of bilateral export trade value in 2014, this paper estimates the relationship between trade facilitation and export trade value.The results show that 1) trade facilitation exerts the positive effects to all countries' export; 2)The lower national income level, the higher trade facilitation effect. The descending order is low income countries, low-middle income countries, high-middle income countries and high income countries: OECD. Hence the verification of the applicability of the late-developing advantage is confirmed in the trade facilitation.At the end of this paper, the way of improving trade facilitation are brought forward for the countries, especially for the low and low-middle income countries.

Key words: gravity model, trade facilitation, PPML, country effect, late-developing advantage

中图分类号:

曹颖琦, 焦晓松, 廖望科. 贸易便利化与出口实绩：来自国别组效应的证据[J]. , 2017(04): 84-92.

CAO Ying-qi, JIAO Xiao-song, LIAO Wang-ke. Trade Facilitation and Export Performance: Evidence from Country Group Effect[J]. , 2017(04): 84-92.

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