贵州财经大学学报 ›› 2019 ›› Issue (06): 92-101.

• 贫困与发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

解读“穷人思维”:贫困农户风险态度的影响因素分析——来自广西、贵州贫困山区入户实地实验的证据

赖玥1, 柳弌祎2   

  1. 1. 广西科技大学, 广西 柳州 545006;
    2. 国研经济研究院贵安分院, 贵阳 贵州 550001
  • 收稿日期:2019-05-23 出版日期:2019-11-15 发布日期:2019-11-28
  • 作者简介:赖玥(1981-)女,经济学博士,广西科技大学西部地区产业与城市发展研究中心研究人员,经济与管理学院经济系副教授,研究方向为贫困、不平等与经济增长,实验及行为经济学、博弈论及其应用;柳弌祎(1981-)女,经济学博士,助理研究员,国研经济研究院贵安分院研究员,研究方向为政策评价、博弈论机制设计。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目"经农户风险态度传导的贫困路径依赖与邻里贫困效应的形成及交互机制研究:理论及实验方法的实证"(项目编号:1763005)

Understanding ‘the Poor's Mind’: An Empirical Study on Risk Attitudes of Poor Farmers with the Evidence from a Field Experiment in Rural Minority Villages in Western China

LAI Yue1, LIU Yi-yi2   

  1. 1. Guangxi University of Science and Technology, Liuzhou, Guangxi 545006, China;
    2. National Economy Research Institute at Gui'an, Guiyang, Guizhou 550025 China
  • Received:2019-05-23 Online:2019-11-15 Published:2019-11-28

摘要: 采用入户实地实验的方式,从贫困农户风险态度的影响因素入手对"穷人思维"进行解读。在广西、贵州两个少数民族聚居乡(镇)进行的抽样调查和实验发现,贫农普遍厌恶风险,特别在面临可能的损失时风险厌恶程度显著上升,但也有部分风险偏好者,在面临可能的损失时却更为偏好风险;越是厌恶风险者获得的实验收益越低,相反越是偏好风险者获得的实验收益越高;配偶、母亲受教育水平的增加显著降低了贫农的风险厌恶程度;家庭承受的教育负担越重,贫农的风险厌恶程度越高。扶贫政策的开展和实施应考虑贫农的风险态度,完善针对风险偏好者的多样化的金融支持和针对风险厌恶者的低息金融扶持,能覆盖更广泛的贫农群体。长期来看,教育扶贫应当成为一项持续的重点扶贫政策,降低家庭教育负担、提高女性的受教育年限、加强成人继续教育培训都将产生长期、积极的显著影响。

关键词: 风险态度, 风险厌恶, 实地实验, 贫困, 教育扶贫

Abstract: Using the method of field experiments, this paper interprets the "thinking of the poor" from the influencing factors of risk attitude of poor farmers. Sample survey and experiment in Guangxi and Guizhou, two minority nationality villages (towns) found that poor peasants generally hate risk, especially when faced with possible losses, the degree of risk aversion increased significantly, but some risk preferences were more risk-averse when faced with possible losses; the more risk-averse peasants got risk-averse, the more risk-averse peasants got risk-aversion. The lower the experimental returns, the higher the experimental returns of the risk-preferent; the higher the educational level of spouses and mothers, the lower the risk aversion of the poor peasants; the heavier the educational burden the family bears, the higher the risk aversion of the poor peasants. The development and implementation of poverty alleviation policies should take into account the risk attitude of poor peasants, improve diversified financial support for risk preferences and low-interest financial support for risk averse, so as to cover a wider group of poor peasants. In the long run, poverty alleviation through education should be a sustained and key poverty alleviation policy. Reducing the burden of family education, increasing women's education years and strengthening adult continuing education and training will have a long-term, positive and significant impact.

Key words: risk attitude, risk aversion, field experiment, poverty, poverty alleviation

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