数字经济赋能现代流通体系建设的要素识别与路径组合——基于BP神经网络与fsQCA的分析

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 加快数字经济赋能流通体系现代化建设对构建新发展格局具有重要作用,已有研究在精准识别并组合数字经济关键要素,使之有效驱动现代流通体系高效化、智能化升级方面存在不足。为此,文章以中国2013—2022年30个省市区为样本,基于BP神经网络模型和模糊集定性比较分析法(fsQCA)展开了实证研究。结果显示:数字经济影响现代流通体系建设的要素中,数字基础设施是首要因素,数字产业化次之,产业数字化则位列最后。数字经济赋能现代流通体系建设的组态路径有高组态和低组态两种,其中高组态的两种促进模式,分别是全面发展型和“基础设施+数字产业化”发展型;低组态的三种阻碍模式,分别是整体匮乏型、“基础设施+X”匮乏型和仅数字基础设施匮乏型。从组态路径来看,数字基础设施是数字经济赋能现代流通体系建设的必要因素,是数字经济实现对现代流通体系建设有效赋能的前提条件。该研究深化了数字经济赋能现代流通体系建设的要素识别,并提出了具体的路径组合,可为政府和流通企业提供差异化、可落地的数字赋能组合方案。

关键词: 数字经济, 现代流通体系, BP神经网络, fsQCA, 组态路径

Abstract: Accelerating the empowerment of the circulation system modernization by the digital economy plays a significant role in constructing the new development pattern. Existing research has shortcomings in precisely identifying and combining key elements of the digital economy to effectively drive the modernization of the circulation system towards higher efficiency and intelligence. To address this, the article conducts an empirical study using a sample of 30 Chinese provinces from 2013 to 2022, based on the BP neural network model and fuzzy-set Qualitative Comparative Analysis (fsQCA). The results show that among the elements through which the digital economy influences the construction of a modern circulation system, digital infrastructure is the primary factor, followed by digital industrialization, with industrial digitalization ranking last, thus verifying the hypothesis. There are two types of configurational paths for the digital economy’s empowerment of the modern circulation system: high-level and low-level configurations. The high-level configurations include two promotion models: comprehensive development and "infrastructure+digital industrialization" development. The low-level configurations include three hindrance models: overall deficiency, "infrastructure+X" deficiency, and only digital infrastructure deficiency. From the configurational paths, digital infrastructure is a necessary element for the digital economy to empower the construction of a modern circulation system and a prerequisite for the digital economy to achieve effective empowerment in the construction of the modern circulation system. This study deepens the identification of elements through which the digital economy empowers the construction of a modern circulation system and proposes specific configurational paths, providing differentiated and implementable digital empowerment solutions for the government and circulation enterprises.

Key words: digital economy, modern distribution system, BP neural network, fsQCA, configurational paths

中图分类号:

F724.7

张武康, 张驰. 数字经济赋能现代流通体系建设的要素识别与路径组合——基于BP神经网络与fsQCA的分析[J]. 贵州财经大学学报, 2026(01): 54-64.

ZHANG Wukang, ZHANG Chi. Study Research on the Identification of Elements and Path of Digital Economy Enabling the Construction of Modern Circulation System-Analysis based on BP neural network and fsQCA[J]. Journal of Guizhou University of Finance and Economics, 2026(01): 54-64.

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