How Does Family Planning Policy Affect Urban-Rural Income Gap-An Analysis Based on CFPS Project

Abstract

Abstract: Using the database provided by China Family Panel Survey(CFPS)2010,this paper not only analyzed the influence of family planning policy on urban-rural income gap,but also Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition method and RIF regression decomposition method are used to measure the contribution of family planning policy to urban and rural income gap. The result shows that:(1) the family planning policy is conducive to improvement of children's income, and the marginal effect of income on urban is greater than that of rural; (2) the policy allows for more births is not conducive to improvement of rural children's income. It will significantly lower the income of the children if family super living, and the negative impact on urban is greater than that of rural; (3) the family planning policy presents a u-shaped thrust on urban-rural income gap, the role of low-income and high-income groups is large but relatively small for middle-income groups. Therefore, the family planning policy should coordinate the overall situation, take measures according to local conditions, reward and punish both, improve the level of human capital in rural areas and the quality of education of children, and promote the convergence of fertility rate and human capital level of urban and rural residents.

Key words: family planning policy, urban-rural income gap, oaxaca-blinder decomposition, RIF regression decomposition, offsprings' income

CLC Number:

F047

WU Qi-feng, SU Qun. How Does Family Planning Policy Affect Urban-Rural Income Gap-An Analysis Based on CFPS Project[J]. , 2018(04): 1-11.

References

[1] 瞿凌云.人口政策的经济效应分析——基于人口数量与质量替代效应的视角[J].人口与经济,2013(5):24-32.

[2] 周俊山,尹银.中国计划生育政策对居民储蓄率的影响——基于省级面板数据的研究[J].金融研究,2011(10):61-73.

[3] 汪伟.计划生育政策的储蓄与增长效应:理论与中国的经验分析[J].经济研究,2010(10):63-77.

[4] 王金营,杨磊.中国人口转变、人口红利与经济增长的实证[J].人口学刊,2010(5):15-24.

[5] 段志明.子女数量对家庭收入的影响[J].统计研究,2016(10):83-92.

[6] 刘小鸽,魏建.计划生育是否提高了子代收入?[J].人口与经济,2016(1):117-125.

[7] Becker G S,Tomes N.Human capital and the rise and fall of families[J].Journal of Labor Economics,1986,4(3):S1-S39.

[8] 梁超.计划生育影响了收入不平等吗?——基于CFPS数据的经验分析[J].人口与经济,2017(1):116-123.

[9] 万海远,李实.户籍歧视对城乡收入差距的影响[J].经济研究,2013(9):43-55.

[10] 孙君,张前程.中国城乡金融不平衡发展与城乡收入差距的经验分析[J].世界经济文汇,2012(6):108-120.

[11] 张义博,刘文忻.人口流动、财政支出结构与城乡收入差距[J].中国农村经济,2012(1):16-31.

[12] 雷根强,蔡翔.初次分配扭曲、财政支出城市偏向与城乡收入差距——来自中国省级面板数据的经验证据[J].数量经济技术经验研究,2012(3):76-89.

[13] 雷根强,黄晓虹,席鹏辉.转移支付对城乡收入差距的影响——基于我国中西部县域数据的模糊断点回归分析[J].财贸经济,2015(12):35-48.

[14] 魏浩,赵春明.对外贸易对我国城乡收入差距影响的实证分析[J].财贸经济,2012(1)::78-86.

[15] 王怀明,王子睿.加工贸易、收入转移与城乡收入差距[J].贵州财经大学学报,2018(1):77-84.

[16] 郭剑雄.人力资本、生育率与城乡收入差距的收敛[J].中国社会科学,2005(3):27-38.

[17] 周绍东.生育率与人力资本投资的逆向关系——中国城乡差距的一个解释[J].山西财经大学学报,2008,30(4):15-30.

[18] 赖德胜.计划生育与城乡收入差距[J].中国人口科学,2001(3):70-75.

[19] Schultz.Investment in human capital[J].American Economic Review,,1961,51(1):1-17.

[20] Becker,Gary S,Investment in Human Capital:A theoretical analysis[J].Journal of Political Economy,1962,70(5):S9-S49.

[21] Becker G S,Tomes N.An equilibrium theory of the distribution of income and intergenerational mobility[j].The Journal of Political Economy,1979,16:1153-1189.

[22] Solon Gary.A model of intergenerational mobility variation over time and place.In:Corak,Miles (Ed.),Generational income mobility in North America and Europe.Cambridge University Press,Cambridge,2004.

[23] Qian N.Quantity-Quality and the one child policy:The only-child disadvantage in school enrollment in rural china[J].NBER Working Paper No.14973,2009.

[24] Becker G.Demographic and economic change in developed countries[J]New York:Columbia University Press,1960:209-240.

[25] 李子联.收入与生育:中国生育率变动的解释[J].经济学动态,2016(5):37-48.

[26] Mincer,J.,Schooling,experience,and earning[J].New York:Columbia University Press for the National Bureau of Economic Research,1974.

[27] Oaxaca,University Male-Female Wage Differentials in Urban Labor Markets,Inernational Economic Review,1973(10):693-709.

[28] Blinde,A.,"Wage discrimination:reduced form and structural estimates"[J].Journal of Human Resources,1973,8(4):436-455.

[29] Firpo.S.N.Fortin.and T.Lemicux.Unconditional quantile regressions[J].Econometrica,2009(5):953-973.

[30] Dinardo J..Fortin N.and Lcmieux T.,Labor market institution and the distribution of wages 1973-1992:A semiparametric approach[J].Econometrica,1996(9):1001-1044.