贵州财经大学学报

›› 2016 ›› Issue (02): 90-99.

• 绿色发展论坛 • 上一篇    下一篇

投资增长加重了中国工业二氧化硫的排放吗——基于空间面板模型的总量判断与结构比较

徐志伟, 常旭蕊   

  1. 天津财经大学商学院, 天津 300222
  • 收稿日期:2015-11-15 出版日期:2016-03-15 发布日期:2016-03-15
  • 作者简介:徐志伟(1979-),男,天津市人,经济学博士,副教授,研究方向为资源环境与产业协调发展;常旭蕊(1990-),女,河北唐山人,硕士研究生,研究方向为环境与产业政策。
  • 基金资助:

    国家社会科学基金项目"基于经济空间结构的河流污染跨区域协同治理研究"(14CGLD32)。

Can Investment Growth Increase the Industrial SO2 Discharge-An Overall Judgment and Structural Compare Based on Spatial Panel Model

XU Zhi-wei, CHANG Xu-rui   

  1. School of Business, Tianjin University of Finance and Economics, Tianjin 300222, China
  • Received:2015-11-15 Online:2016-03-15 Published:2016-03-15

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摘要： 以2004-2013年中国境内31个省市区为样本,运用空间面板模型实证分析投资总量增长及结构差异对工业二氧化硫(SO2)排放的影响,以研究投资增长是否加重了中国的排污负担。研究发现,工业SO2排放存在省际空间溢出效应并在部分地区形成了"高-高"聚集区域。从总量角度看,工业SO2排放与固定资产投资之间呈现显著的"倒U"型关系。从结构角度看,地方投资对工业SO2排放具有更加显著的影响;国有投资和非国有投资虽然表面上对工业SO2排放的影响并无显著差异,但对于特定的高排放行业,非国有投资依然是造成排放增长的主要因素;不同规模的投资项目对工业SO2排放的影响没有显著差异,并与细分行业分布情况无关;新建项目固定资产投资是影响工业SO2排放的主因,增加更新改造投资不会对排放产生显著作用。

关键词: 投资总量, 投资结构, 工业SO2排放, 空间相关性

Abstract: For verifying if the investment increased pollution discharge load, according to a spatial panel model, the article focuses on the empirical analysis about the effect of the total investment growth and structure difference to the industrial SO2 emissions in China's 31 provinces from 2004 to 2013. The article finds the industrial SO2 emissions have a significant spatial spillover among the inter-provinces and also form a "high-high" agglomeration in some regions. From the overall views, there is a significant inverse "U" relationship between industrial SO2 emissions and total investment. From the structural views, the local investment has a significant influence to emissions. For the given high discharge industry, non-state-owned investment is the primary cause leading to the emissions, even though there are no difference between the state-owned and non-state-owned investment superficially. The different scale of investment has a similar effect to industrial SO2 emissions and also nothing to do with the segmented industry. The expansion and reconstruction project is nearly unrelated to industrial SO2 emissions, and the key factor is mainly from the new construction project.

Key words: total investment, investment structure, industrial SO2 discharge, spatial correlation

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