技能退化、干中学与失业的持续性

›› 2017 ›› Issue (03): 1-14.

• 宏观经济 • 下一篇

技能退化、干中学与失业的持续性

陈利锋

1. 中共广东省委党校经济学教研部, 广东广州 510053;
2. 广东财经大学国民经济研究中心, 广东广州 510320;
3. 中国社会科学院经济研究所, 北京 100836

收稿日期:2016-10-08 出版日期:2017-05-15 发布日期:2017-05-26
作者简介:陈利锋(1982-),男,湖北黄冈人,经济学博士,中共广东省委党校副教授,中国社会科学院经济研究所博士后科研流动站与广东财经大学国民经济研究中心博士后科研工作站在站博士后,研究方向为货币与金融经济学、劳动经济学。
基金资助:
国家社会科学基金项目"城镇间真实收入差距与我国城镇化研究"（13BJL056）；广东省哲学社会科学"十二五"规划学科共建项目"劳动力市场结构性改革与中国经济波动研究——基于动态新凯恩斯主义的视角"（GD14XYJ02）；广东省自然科学基金项目"税收持续增长背景下的民生性财政支出对产业结构调整的影响机制及效应研究"（2016A030313615）的阶段性成果。

Skill Loss, Learning by Working and the Persistence of Unemployment

CHEN Li-feng

1. Teaching and Research Department of Economics, Guangdong Provincial Party School of CPC, Guangzhou 510053, China;
2. National Economics Research Center, Guangdong University of Finance and Economics, Guangzhou 510320, China;
3. Institute of Economics, Chinese Academy of Social Science, Beijing 100836, China

Received:2016-10-08 Online:2017-05-15 Published:2017-05-26

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 现实经济中的失业往往表现出较强的持续性特征。通过建立一个包含技能退化与干中学机制的NK-DSGE模型，并基于这一模型分析了引起失业持续性的内在作用机制。研究结论表明：（1）负向技术冲击对于低技能劳动力具有更大的冲击效应；（2）技能退化与干中学通过影响劳动力队伍的技能构成进而改变了失业的持续性：技能退化的概率越大，失业的持续性越强；干中学即技能提升的概率越大，失业的持续性越小。因此，通过技能培训以及相关的就业服务机制改变技能退化机制的作用并积极发挥干中学机制的积极作用，将有利于缓解我国失业的持续性问题。

关键词: 技能退化, 干中学, 失业的持续性

Abstract: Unemployment shows long persistence in China' economy. This paper considers a NK-DSGE model with skill loss and learning by working, and analysis the mechanism of unemployment persistence. The result argues that: (1)negative technology shock has much larger impact on low skill labors; (2)skill loss and learning by working changes the skill composition of unemployment and the persistence of unemployment, that is: the larger of the skill loss probability, the more persistence of unemployment; and the larger of skill upgrading, the less persistence of unemployment. Further, by skill training to alleviate the effect of skill loss and promote the effect of learning by working maybe helpful for alleviating the problem of unemployment persistence.

Key words: skill loss, learning by working, unemployment persistence

中图分类号:

F015

陈利锋. 技能退化、干中学与失业的持续性[J]. , 2017(03): 1-14.

CHEN Li-feng. Skill Loss, Learning by Working and the Persistence of Unemployment[J]. , 2017(03): 1-14.

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技能退化、干中学与失业的持续性

Skill Loss, Learning by Working and the Persistence of Unemployment

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