关键词: 乡城移民, 定居意愿, 住房特征, Probit模型

Abstract: In recent years, in the reality of urban and rural dual system and housing prices continue to rise, immigrants cannot achieve the exchange from the "sojourn" to "live". This paper establishes the basic analysis framework of urban new immigrants' willingness to settle, and divides the relevant influencing factors into two basic categories:basic factors and housing characteristic factors, focusing on the relationship between housing and willingness to settle. Based on the questionnaire survey data of Hangzhou, Guangzhou, Dalian and Xi'an in 2014, the paper uses the probit model to discuss the comprehensive situation of the living status of new immigrants and the comprehensive effect of housing characteristics on their willingness to settle. It is found that the housing characteristics have great effect to new immigrants. Other factors such as the individual characteristics, human capital, economic welfare and social capital of the settled cities have different degrees of influence on the settlement of new immigrants.

Key words: city new migrants, settlement intention, housing characteristics, probit model