贵州财经大学学报

贵州财经大学学报 ›› 2023 ›› Issue (03): 18-28.

• 宏观经济 • 上一篇    

人工智能发展有利于我国居民消费扩容吗

丁建勋1, 罗润东2   

  1. 1. 青岛理工大学 商学院, 山东 青岛 266520;
    2. 山东大学 劳动经济与人力资源研究中心, 山东 威海 264200
  • 收稿日期:2022-07-24 发布日期:2023-05-23
  • 作者简介:丁建勋(1971-),男,山东胶南人,博士,青岛理工大学教授,硕士生导师,研究方向为宏观经济理论与政策;罗润东(1966-),男,山东德州人,博士,山东大学教授,博士生导师,研究方向为劳动就业与人力资源。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目“异质性人工智能模式对人力资本的结构性替代与再配置效应研究”(72073082);山东省社会科学规划研究项目“基建序贯投资转向对山东省高质量发展路径演进的影响及其机理研究”(21CJJJ04)。

Is AI Conducive to the Expansion of Consumption of Chinese Residents

DING Jianxun1, LUO Rundong2   

  1. 1. School of Business, Qingdao University of Technology, Qingdao, Shandong 266520, China;
    2. Labor Economics and Human Resources Research Center, Shandong University, Weihai, Shandong 264200, China
  • Received:2022-07-24 Published:2023-05-23

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摘要： 人工智能技术的快速发展和广泛应用会对居民消费产生重要影响,但其影响居民消费的方向和核心机制是什么,还需要加以深入探讨。基于人工智能发展如何影响消费及其核心机制的理论探讨,利用2005~2020年我国30个省份(西藏除外)的面板数据进行实证检验发现,人工智能发展有利于我国居民消费扩容,但检验核心机制存在性的中介效应分析显示,人工智能发展对我国居民消费的直接影响不明显,而通过异质型技术进步影响居民消费的间接路径显著,且人工智能发展通过非体现式技术进步实现的特定中介效应要大于通过体现式技术进步实现的特定中介效应。

关键词: 人工智能, 居民消费, 异质型技术进步

Abstract: The rapid development and wide application of artificial intelligence technology will have an important impact on residents' consumption, but the direction and core mechanism of its impact on residents' consumption need to be further explored. Based on the theoretical discussion on how the development of AI affects consumption and its core mechanism, using panel data from 30 provinces in China from 2005 to 2020 to conduct an empirical test, it is found that the development of AI is indeed conducive to the expansion of China's residents' consumption, but the analysis of the intermediary effect of the existence of core mechanisms shows that the direct impact of AI development on China's residents' consumption is not obvious, However, the indirect path of influencing Chinese residents' consumption through heterogeneous technological progress is significant, and the specific intermediary effect of AI development through disembodied technological progress is greater than that through embodied technological progress. In order to give full play to the role of AI in consumption expansion and promote high-quality development in China, first, we should attach importance to the promotion effect of AI development on residents' consumption; Second, we should continue to increase the investment in the application of artificial intelligence; Third, we should especially increase investment in research and development of artificial intelligence.

Key words: artificial intelligence, household consumption, heterogeneous technological progress

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